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Unconscious uncoupling

Balance of Power
Bloomberg

In recent years we've learned a new phase: Conscious Uncoupling. The aim is to keep things civil and constructive in a separation.

What is increasingly happening with the U.S. and China — three months before an election in America – is more akin to a wrecking ball through a marriage.

If there was any doubt we are witnessing the long-term destruction of the opportunity for collaboration between two superpowers, Donald Trump's announcement on the TikTok and WeChat apps puts paid to that. It's a major step in trying to cut China's global tech clout, and to decouple the U.S. and Chinese economies.

There's a 45-day window for the moves to take effect. It's still unclear exactly how WeChat would be impacted. But it could potentially prevent people in America downloading an app that's used not just for messaging but for remittances and e-commerce. It's one of the most widely used apps in the world, with more than 1 billion users.

Decoupling is not easy and banning WeChat would hurt the U.S., too. With other services blocked in China, it's used by many companies to do deals and sign contracts. U.S. companies like Starbucks use the service with consumers in China.

It also allows families and friends to keep in touch. There are an estimated 4 million Chinese Americans, and hundreds of thousands of Chinese students in America. American scholars and security experts use it to glean information from inside China. Intel flows back and forth.

As previous great power tussles have shown us, adversaries still need to talk. Cutting off communication only risks misunderstandings.

Rosalind Mathieson

A customer uses WeChat to pay for some poultry at a market stall in Beijing on May 6, 2019.

Photographer: Gilles Sabrie/Bloomberg

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Global Headlines

Under fire | Scandals engulfing the National Rifle Association threaten to undercut its financial and political power heading into the U.S. elections. The organization, long perceived as a kingmaker, was the top contributor to Trump's 2016 campaign. Now complaints over lavish spending, internal battles, legal fights and fundraising woes are coming to a head.

  • Trump's new campaign manager credited the revival of the president's daily briefings with narrowing the gap between him and Democratic nominee Joe Biden.
  • Biden has apologized for comments he made yesterday suggesting the African-American community was not diverse.

Falling apart | Negotiations on a new coronavirus relief bill edged toward collapse after a meeting between White House officials and top congressional Democrats ended with each side accusing the other of being unwilling to compromise, leaving the biggest issues far from resolved. There's no guarantee they will resume talks today.

  • Trump said he expects to sign orders today or tomorrow extending enhanced unemployment benefits and imposing a payroll-tax holiday.

Legal fight | A former high-level Saudi official who has worked closely with U.S. intelligence agencies sued Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in an American court for unspecified damages, alleging he orchestrated a conspiracy to assassinate him. The lawsuit said a team of Saudi hit men known as the Tiger Squad flew to Canada, where Saad Aljabri lives, in October 2018 but were stopped by Canadian border officials.

Neighborly strife | The U.S. will reimpose tariffs on some Canadian aluminum imports. It hits a crucial trade partner just weeks after Trump's new North American trade agreement went into effect and comes as he trails Biden in opinion polls and seeks to portray himself as best positioned to revive the economy. Canada has threatened retaliation.

Waiting game | Facing an unprecedented challenge to his bid for a sixth term at Sunday's elections, Belarus President Alexander Lukashenko has resorted to lashing out at his ally, Russia, to try to rally public support and cast himself as a guarantor of independence. With opposition candidate Svetlana Tikhanovskaya attracting huge crowds, Russian President Vladimir Putin may take advantage of a weakened Lukashenko to draw Belarus more tightly to Moscow after the vote, Aliaksandr Kudrytski, Henry Meyer and Ilya Arkhipov report.

Putin welcomes Lukashenko to a meeting at the Kremlin, on Dec. 29, 2018.

Photographer: Kirill Kudravtsev/AFP

What to Watch

  • Germany is reacting angrily to a threat by U.S. senators to sanction a port operator in Chancellor Angela Merkel's electoral district over its involvement with the Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline from Russia.

  • Afghan President Ashraf Ghani will host a national gathering of leaders today to discuss plans to release hundreds of Taliban prisoners, a controversial move that could pave the way for talks to end the 19-year war.

  • Hong Kong police charged pro-democracy activists including Joshua Wong for taking part in a June vigil commemorating the anniversary of China's crackdown in Tiananmen Square, the latest move in the clampdown on the city's opposition movement.

  • The brothers ruling Sri Lanka scored a landslide victory in parliamentary elections but fell short of a super majority that would allow President Gotabaya Rajapaksa to restore sweeping executive powers to his office.

Pop quiz, readers (no cheating!). As part of post-virus stimulus measures, Italy is offering an almost $600 payment to anyone who buys what? Send your answers to balancepower@bloomberg.net.

And finally ... It's a World Heritage Site whose unique wildlife helped Charles Darwin devise his theory of evolution. Now, Stephan Kueffner explains, the waters surrounding the Galapagos Islands, off the coast of Ecuador, have become the latest point of friction between the world's two superpowers. The appearance of hundreds of Chinese fishing vessels near the protected nature reserve prompted a rebuke from U.S. Secretary of State Michael Pompeo, while Beijing said U.S. politicians were trying to "sow discord". Ecuador believes the fleet was attracted to the rich habitat for sharks, used to make shark fin soup which is considered a delicacy in China.

A Chinese-flagged ship confiscated by the Ecuadorean Navy sits in the waters of the Galapagos marine reserve, on Aug. 25, 2017.

Photographer: Juan Cevallos/AFP via Getty Images

 

 

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