Header Ads

Hollywood award shows are in free fall. Can they be saved?

Hollywood award shows are setting records in all of the worst ways.

The Emmy Awards attracted the smallest audience in at least three decades last September, while this year's Golden Globes fell to a 13-year low. Experts are already predicting the April 25 Oscars will be the least watched in the modern era, and the Grammys, airing Sunday night, are trying to avoid a similar fate.

TV networks are quick to blame the pandemic, and there is no question it's had an effect. The absence of a crowd saps the energy from live events and hurts their TV ratings. The Oscars' red carpet, a lure for millions of viewers, isn't happening this year, nor are live concerts or blockbuster movies. The top contenders for best picture are "Nomadland," a bleak drama that almost nobody watched, and "The Trial of the Chicago 7," a polemic that alienated many of those who did.

But the decline in ratings isn't new, it's just accelerated during the pandemic. Over the past decade, the Grammys audience has shrunk by more than 20 million viewers, while the Globes has lost more than 10 million.

"It's just a constant decrease in ratings," said Don Mischer, who has produced the Academy Awards and the Emmys (and won some Emmys as well). Mischer fears we are watching the death of awards shows in real time.

"I wish I could tell you that I see a solution coming," Mischer said. "But I'm not sure there is."

While the decline of a few self-congratulatory Hollywood galas may seem trivial in the grand scheme of things, especially during a pandemic, these shows employ thousands of workers, and the groups that put them on use the profits to fund programs for the arts. TV networks pay tens of millions of dollars for the rights to broadcast individual awards shows, because they are part of an exclusive club: programming that needs to be seen live. In any given year, the Oscars and Grammys are among the only shows that can compete with live sports for viewers.

And so, industry executives are preoccupied with diagnosing the cause of the disease, and identifying a cure.

Mischer blames the rise of streaming services, which have drawn viewers away from pay TV and fragmented the audience. Older folks watch live TV, and the young stream. The Emmys in recent years have been a three-hour advertisement for Netflix and Amazon, while the Grammy Awards have struggled to find performers who appeal to both the average CBS viewer and their grandkids.

"There are so many options of what to watch on TV that award shows are just kind of losing interest," Mischer said.

The internet has damaged awards shows in more ways than one. When the Oscars were first televised in 1953, it was one of few ways people could see so much star power in one room. Now, all they need to do is open up Instagram.

This gets at the biggest problem of all: awards shows no longer feel special. As soon as the Oscars started collecting millions of dollars for broadcast rights, opportunists decided to turn a couple of awards shows into awards season, a never-ending cycle that runs from the film festivals and Emmys in the fall through the guild awards and the Globes in the winter to the Oscars in later in the new year.

If the Grammys aren't enough for you, you can watch the American Music Awards, the Billboard Music Awards, the MTV Video Music Awards and the Academy of Country Music Awards. This glut has made the entire format stale.

Producers have tried over the years to reinvent the wheel, eliminating categories or introducing new stunts. The pandemic required producers to mix it up, producing a few innovations. The Emmy Awards were delivered to people at home. The BET Awards reimagined performances as individual music videos.

But all of the producers agree change is needed.

""The format needed a creative shot in the arm," said Jesse Collins, whose credits include the BET Awards and this year's Grammys and Oscars. "Everyone will take new ideas that have come out of this pandemic and inject them into whatever awards show come in the future."

There's just one problem: the academies. Members of the various groups stand in the way of dramatic change. Think about how long it's taken to make their bodies more diverse, and the continued struggle to field a diverse group of nominees. That's only happened because they were publicly shamed.

But let's say, for a second, that they are open to change. How would you reimagine the shows? I spoke with awards-show producers, TV executives and a few industry experts to settle on four easy ideas.

Rule #1: Cut back on the awards. The Emmy organizers hand out 27 awards in three hours, leaving just 22 minutes in the rest of the program for anything that isn't an award. Nobody needs to see "Schitt's Creek" win seven awards in a row across the entire first hour (except for the producers of the show). The Oscars are even worse, handing out prizes like sound editing and short films to people no one has ever heard of.

"Awards show planners should start from the premise that nobody cares who wins the awards," said Matt Belloni, former editorial director of The Hollywood Reporter.

Rule #2: Emphasize the show in awards shows. This is the one area where the Grammys really get it right. The Grammys aren't an awards show. They are a showcase for the biggest artists to perform in ways no one has seen before. Imagine if the Emmys or Oscars followed this lead.

What if the Oscars asked all the nominees for best actress and best actor to get together on-stage and reenact a famous scene from a classic movie? Or if the Emmys had "Saturday Night Live" create a sketch lampooning some part of the industry every year?

Rule #3: More footage, less politics. Every single network executive told me that the political speechifying at these awards shows turns away many viewers. You could eliminate some of this by reducing the numbers of awards.

So how do you fill the time? Why not have studios cut together three-minute segments from upcoming movies to get fans excited? Or have TV networks tease upcoming seasons of popular show?

"The movies have blockbusters everyone cares about," Belloni said. "TV has storylines people care about. How do you leverage those to create an environment where people tune in knowing they'll get something they want?"

So what does Mischer think so far? "These are great ideas, you should be a producer," he joked, before noting that the Grammys do most of this already and still lose viewers.

Companies that rely on these awards shows, like Dick Clark Productions, believe the decline may be cyclical. Ratings fall when the country is upset or distracted, as it has been for the past few years. The events still outdraw almost any scripted show, which makes them valuable to the networks and to advertisers. That brings us to the easiest solution of all...

Rule #4:  Stream it. Dick Clark Productions is pushing for Walt Disney to put the American Music Awards on both Hulu and ABC, and wants the Billboard Music Awards to be on both NBC and Peacock, which are both owned by Comcast.

"Our content is still valued," said Amy Thurlow, president of Dick Clark Productions. "It's not a creative or content issue. It's a distribution issue."

As more viewers shift to streaming from cable, some media companies still don't have the technical capability or the rights to offer awards shows on their streaming services. But that's changing, starting with sports. After Disney, ViacomCBS and NBCUniversal convince sports leagues to put games on streaming, they will turn to awards shows.

The motion-picture academy would probably implode before letting Netflix air the Oscars. But the groups that hand out awards might be open to airing a show on ABC and Hulu at the same time, or on NBC and Peacock. Dick Clark Productions is planning for the Academy of Country Music Awards to be on both CBS and Paramount+.  Hopefully it's not too late. – Lucas Shaw

The best of Screentime (and other stuff)

Marketers Are Underpaying Black Influencers
Sarah Frier with a sadly unsurprising but still vital story on how advertisers don't pay Black creators the same rates as White ones.
The Fall of Armie Hammer
Julie Miller with a jaw-dropping story on the actor's recent scandal, and where it fits into the family's legacy for WTF moments.
He Was the Hero of 'Hotel Rwanda.' Now He's Accused of Terrorism.
Joshua Hammer delivers a pitch-perfect profile of the Paul Rusesabagina, known to most of us as Don Cheadle's character from "Hotel Rwanda."
New Data Expose How White and Male Some U.S. Companies Are
My colleagues have been working for months on a project to get diversity data out of the 100 largest U.S. companies.
A Shooter in the Hills
A crime story in Malibu.

Tubi, Roku take page out of the Netflix playbook

It's the streaming wars, but for free services. Tubi, owned by Fox, is working on a slate of original programs that it plans to announce in the coming months. 

Tubi is one of a handful of advertising-supported streaming services that have ballooned in size over the past few years. Pluto TV and Tubi both have tens of millions of users, as does Roku, which both sells you your TV dongle and operates its own service (titled the Roku Channel).

Tubi, Pluto and Roku Channel have all attracted users with reruns of old movies and TV shows. Deep libraries of things you liked once upon a time. Now, like Netflix before it, and HBO before that, they are funding originals (or at least talking about it).

Roku moved first, buying shows from the now-defunct Quibi (RIP). Now here comes Tubi, which is preparing a slate of original movies. I hear Pluto has had some preliminary talks about originals too. No word yet on whether they have concrete plans, but it's only a matter of time.

ESPN is back in the hockey business

Disney has acquired the rights to show NHL games on ABC and ESPN. But the big news is that Disney acquired the rights to show games on Hulu and ESPN+, its two streaming services.

We've covered why sports are the next frontier in streaming competition already; get ready for more and more news on this front.

HBO Max is feeling frisky

AT&T now estimates HBO Max will sign up as many as 150 customers by 2025, increasing its forecasts based on recent results. The company plans to roll out HBO Max in Latin America and Western Europe later this year, and will introduce an advertising-supported tier as well.

The week in Netflix

Two changes at Netflix this week worth minding:

  • Netflix is experimenting with a new way to limit password sharing. The company has always said it doesn't mind password sharing too much, but it has also been testing ways to curb password sharing for a while. I wouldn't take this as a big escalation of these efforts -- it is wary of alienating its customers -- but another test. 
  • Netflix has also held preliminary talks about licensing some movies to TV networks. Netflix has tried to keep all of its original programs on its service -- why pay for a service if you can watch its shows elsewhere? But like with password sharing, Netflix has experimented with licensing shows before, and this sounds like another toe in the water.

The #1 artist in the world is…

The Weeknd. The Canadian crooner was the top artist on Spotify last month – nearly a full year after his album came out. His song "Blindling Lights" has been in the top 10 for 52 straight weeks, which has never happened before. See the top five in this month's Pop Star Power Rankings below:

This is a testament to the quality of his music, but also the Super Bowl bump. Consumption of The Weeknd music jumped after he performed at the halftime show.

Reminder: He is not nominated for any Grammys, which remains bonkers.

The #1 album in the U.S. belongs to Morgan Wallen. Despite being dropped by radio stations for using a racial slur, his album has been atop the charts for 8 weeks in a row.

Gender imbalance in the music industry

USC issued a startling report on the state of gender equality in music. The highlights:

Female artists made just 22% of the top 100 songs released each year between 2012 and 2020, and a far smaller percentage of women served as producers and writers, according to the study released this week. …

While people of color have boosted their share of top hits by about 20% over the last nine years, women have made smaller gains -- and in some cases, lost ground. They received production credits on about 2% of the top 100 songs for the past nine years, a number that has remained unchanged. For every woman who got a producing credit, there were 38 men.

Deals, deals, deals

Weekly playlist

I saw the first episode of NatGeo's new series "Genius: Aretha," and all I can say is give Cynthia Erivo all the jobs she wants. I don't know if recommending one of the greatest albums ever released even counts as as recommendation, but you should go back and listen to Aretha Franklin's "I Never Loved a Man the Way I Love You."

 

 

Like the Screentime newsletter? Get unlimited access to Bloomberg.com, where you'll find trusted, data-based journalism in 120 countries around the world and expert analysis from exclusive daily newsletters.

Before it's here, it's on the Bloomberg Terminal. Find out more about how the Terminal delivers information and analysis that financial professionals can't find anywhere else. Learn more.

 

No comments