Worst week since the financial crisis | How many job losses? | Goldman says GDP to contract by 24%
EDITOR'S NOTE
Goldman Sachs economists predict the U.S. economy will shrink by 24% in the second quarter after declining 6% in the first.
Then comes the big rebound, they say, with 12% growth in the third quarter and 10% growth in the fourth. CNBC's Patti Domm notes it all amounts to a 9% unemployment rate by the third quarter and a decline in the nation's gross domestic product of 3.8% for all of 2020.
Stocks took a turn for the worse on Friday , giving up an earlier rally.
Plenty of analysts and economists are making predictions about when the economy and the stock market will hit bottom, but they're making forecasts in an ever-worsening catastrophe. Goldman economists say they've lowered their estimates for GDP after seeing the latest headlines.
"News reports point to a sudden surge in layoffs and a collapse in spending, both historic in size and speed, as well as shutdowns of many schools, stores, offices, manufacturing plants and construction sites," the economists said. "These developments argue for a much sharper drop in GDP in Q1 and Q2."
Stay tuned. The outlooks are changing by the day.
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