Header Ads

Netflix conquered TV. Now what?

Netflix Inc. has sold more than 200 million people a subscription to its streaming service. We're about to find out if it can sell them anything else. 

Just this week, the company announced a new online store, as well as plans for a comedy festival next year. The company is preparing a clothing line and live events tied to "Bridgerton," as well as events and consumer products for new seasons of "La Casa de Papel," "The Witcher" and "Stranger Things."

Investing in streetwear and action figures signals an evolution in strategy for the company, which for years focused on one goal: getting more people to sign up for its streaming service. Executives dismissed consumer products as too small to worry about. But that was back when Netflix was much smaller — and its competition less formidable.

Netflix used to say it wanted to be HBO before HBO became Netflix. It succeeded, creating some of the most memorable TV shows of the past decade. It earned the most Emmy nominations of any company last year, and the most Oscar nominations of any studio this year. But Netflix is now entering a new chapter, and with that comes a new challenge: It wants to become Disney before Disney beats it at its own game.

As Netflix tries to compete with Disney on a global scale, it is trying to create franchises that can have the same impact on culture as "Star Wars" or "Toy Story."

This still starts with the shows. The company has identified properties it thinks fit the bill, and is planning a spinoff and new seasons of "Bridgerton," an anime spinoff and sequels or prequels to "The Witcher," and a Korean version of "La Casa de Papel."

But the company has also begun to realize how a podcast or a Halloween costume can keep its programs relevant in between new seasons. Netflix has hired or is hiring new heads of consumer products, podcasts and video games. 

Netflix has been dabbling in all three areas for a few years, and has yet to have much success selling consumer products. Most industry executives blame two of the company's foundational strategies. Netflix drops every episode of its show at once, and releases more shows than anyone could ever watch. Its business model encourages people to obsess over a show for a week or two, and then move onto the next one. 

The most valuable entertainment franchises are built around properties that air on TV every day, or multipart movie series (often based on books or comic books). Selling toys requires constant engagement. Kids shows that are on every day are a great way to remind a child that they want a stuffed animal. (When Nickelodeon moved a show from every day to just Saturday, sales fell by 80%, according to Jeremy Padawer, an executive with Jazwares.)

Netflix has experimented with releasing episodes in bunches instead of all at once, but some within Netflix believe it will have more success creating live events and in-person experiences than licensing toys. Many young customers prefer to spend their time and money on experiences instead of tangible goods these days.

It's worth remembering that Netflix has been making TV shows and movies for less than a decade. Making big franchises is difficult and expensive. One of Netflix's most expensive efforts to create a new franchise, "Jupiter's Legacy," got canceled after one season. Disney has the benefit of nearly a century of trial and error.

That's one reason Netflix is quick to lower expectations for many of these initiatives. The store and the podcasts are just a form of marketing. They aren't about to be huge businesses. The most important thing they can do right now, they say, is get better at animation, and movies and international shows. The company is going to release more than 400 foreign-language titles from 30 countries next year.

But Netflix knows it needs to figure this all out. The company isn't going to add 25 million customers a year forever. There will come a point at which the company has signed up so many people that its user growth will slow and it will need to find an alternative. That could be now, or it could be in 2025.

That's one reason why top executives have stopped referring to Netflix as a video service. They call it an entertainment company. This is semantics, but it signals the company's growing ambitions beyond just TV.

Take video games. the company has had a lot of success producing TV shows based on video games, like "The Witcher." It has also experimented with choose-your-own adventure storytelling, which is a bridge between games and TV shows.

Executives around the company clam up when you ask them about their plans for gaming. They say they haven't decided yet if they want to make games that are new and unrelated to shows, or just extensions. But if you go by their public proclamations and the private chatter, video games is one area where Netflix could be preparing a major push.

It's also the only one of these businesses that could rival its streaming app – at least until it opens a Netflix theme park. – Lucas Shaw

The best of Screentime (and other stuff)

Ken Goldin is Cashing in on Priceless Pieces of Cardboard
The sports collectible market is on track for $10 billion in sales this year, and one little auction house in South Jersey is going to account for $500 million.
The Curious Rise of a Twitter Power Broker
This profile of Yashar Ali is the must-read inside baseball story of the week.
Young Creators Are Burning Out and Breaking Down
TikTok stars are suffering from mental health problems, reports Taylor Lorenz.
'Selena' Writers Say Netflix Series Disrespected the Singer — And Staff
Hollywood is taking Latin talent for granted.
HBO Max's Global Expansion Faces Hurdles
Gerry Smith looks at a few reasons HBO Max might start of slow overseas.

'In the Heights' disappointed. Cue the HBO Max blame game!

"In the Heights" grossed $11.4 million in North America this weekend, far below forecasts. It was unable to dethrone "A Quiet Place Part II," which was in its third week of release.

Some Hollywood traditionalists are going to blame the movie's simultaneous release on HBO Max for suppressing ticket sales. While it's likely some people stayed home to stream, that criticism misses the mark.

Musicals are never a sure-thing at the box office. For every "The Greatest Showman" and "Les Miserables," there is a "Cats" and a "Nine."

Musicals are certainly not classic summer blockbusters. Summer movies deliver huge opening weekends and then taper off when other blockbusters come out. Most musicals tend to be slow burns. They open to decent numbers, and sell tickets for weeks thanks to strong reviews and catchy songs. People go to see it two or three times, and tell their friends. 

As Justin Kroll and Franklin Leonard noted on Twitter, one of the only recent musicals to be a big summer hit was "Mamma Mia!" But "In The Heights" was never as successful a play, nor does it have music from one of the most popular bands of the last 50 years.

"In the Heights" has strong enough reviews to have long legs, but it's starting from such a small number that it's hard to imagine it being a massive hit.

TikTok is ready to benefit from a booming ad market

TikTok is a very popular app that doesn't make much money. But that's about to change.

The short-form video app is asking for more than $1.4 million for a takeover of its home page in the U.S. during the third quarter, according to a document obtained by Bloomberg News. That figure will jump to more than $1.8 million in the fourth quarter — and more than $2 million on a holiday.

These prices are a significant increase over what TikTok was charging just a year ago, according to people familiar with the terms. The total price has gone up in large part because of the app's growing customer base.

TikTok's owner ByteDance is already the fourth-biggest advertising company on earth, after Google, Facebook and Alibaba. (Amazon is fifth.)

All of these companies stand to benefit from a buoyant advertising market. Ad sales are expected to jump 19% this year, according to GroupM. These are the top 11 advertising companies in the world. Four U.S. tech companies, four Chinese tech companies and three U.S. TV companies. Any surprises?

The biggest pop star in the world is…

Olivia Rodrigo performs during The BRIT Awards 2021 in London on May 11.

Photographer: JMEnternational/Getty Images Europe/Getty Images

Olivia Rodrigo. She topped the latest edition of Bloomberg's Pop Star Power Rankings, and what stands out about her ascent is the speed with which she did it.

All three of Rodrigo's debut singles, "Driver's License," "good 4 u" and "déjà vu," reached the top 10. She appeared on "Saturday Night Live" in May before even releasing a full album.

Even musicians who seemed to explode out of nowhere, like Billie Eilish or Dua Lipa, had in fact toiled for years. Both Eilish and Lipa released an EP and toured twice before their breakout records. Ariana Grande's first No. 1 song was her 25th single.

Also in music…

  • The #1 album in the U.S. last week belonged to Taylor Swift, thanks to a quirk in how Billboard counts vinyl sales.
  • Country radio stations are putting Morgan Wallen back on the air, ending his blacklist four months after he used a racial slur.

Deals, deals, deals

The music boom keeps booming. Oaktree Capital Management LP is investing up to $375 million in Primary Wave Music, an independent company that manages songs from Bob Marley and Whitney Houston, joining a parade of financial powerhouses diving into the recording industry.

Some of that money will go to equity in Primary Wave, which creates and manages funds that own songs, but most of it will go to acquire more music rights. Primary Wave has managed the acquisition of more than $1 billion in music rights across three different funds, and wants to roll them together into a public company. 

There were no major public music companies just a couple years ago. Now there are about to be as many as a half-dozen.

Weekly Playlist

Patrick Radden Keefe's new book on the Sackler family is a devastating examination of how one family's greed spurred the opioid epidemic.

And let me be the latest millennial to recommend Bo Burnham's new Netflix special "Inside." I actually prefer listening to it as a comedy album, but you should watch it first.

 

 

Like the Screentime newsletter? Get unlimited access to Bloomberg.com, where you'll find trusted, data-based journalism in 120 countries around the world and expert analysis from exclusive daily newsletters.

Before it's here, it's on the Bloomberg Terminal. Find out more about how the Terminal delivers information and analysis that financial professionals can't find anywhere else. Learn more.

 

No comments