Will the Fed keep market rally going? | Santoli on the retail trader impact | Stimulus checks begin arriving
EDITOR'S NOTE
The Federal Reserve meets in the week ahead, and while it is not likely to take action, it could create volatility in the bond market. That could spell more trouble for tech and big growth stocks, like Tesla and Apple, if yields continue to push higher.
Yields move opposite price, and the 10-year yield touched a 13-month high of 1.64% Friday, up from 1.16% in just a month. In the same period, the S&P 500 has been flat, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq is down 5.5%. The Fed ends its meeting Wednesday with a statement and briefing by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell. It is expected to revise its economic outlook to show stronger growth.
Investors are expected to continue rewarding value stocks and cyclical sectors that do well in an economic rebound, as the rollout of vaccines gains momentum and a new $1.9 trillion fiscal stimulus package has gained approval.
There is some data in the week ahead, including retail sales and industrial production Tuesday.
"The economy is going to be unbelievably strong this year — deficit spending, reopening, vaccines," said Greg Peters, head of multi-sector and strategy at PGIM. "It looks like for next year, all the numbers are being revised higher," he said. "So this thing could have some sustainable growth, so I think there's going to be pressure on rates moving higher."
THE WEEK AHEAD
MICHAEL SANTOLI'S MARKET COLUMN
ACTIVIST SPOTLIGHT
YOUR WEEKEND BRIEFING
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