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Roku sold you a TV dongle. Now it wants to make TV series.

When Cody Heller found out Roku was buying her show "Dummy," she was thrilled. The TV writer had made the series with the actress Anna Kendrick for Quibi, only to see the app shut down less than eight months after its debut.

Now Roku was going to give it another shot at finding an audience. "It will be available again, and I want people to see it," she told me Friday.

But she still has a lot of questions, including: Who uses Roku? Does Roku make original series? When are they planning to premiere Quibi shows on Roku?

Heller isn't the only person asking these questions. Roku is best known as the company that makes those devices you plug into your TV to watch Netflix and Amazon Prime Video. But when Roku announced earlier this year that it was buying dozens of shows that had been made for Quibi, the company suddenly got into business with some of the biggest names in Hollywood, including Kendrick, Kevin Hart and Sam Raimi.

That deal was the start of what appears to be Roku's "Netflix moment," that exciting time in the life of a technology company when it decides to play in Hollywood. After acquiring Quibi's catalog, Roku acquired "This Old House," a U.S. home improvement series with a library of some 1,500 shows. And then it brought in some branded content experts from the comedians at Funny or Die.

Amazon, Apple, Microsoft, Tumblr, YouTube, Snap, Facebook and TikTok have all comes to this same existential fork in the road. People use your products to watch videos, so why not produce them yourself?

For the past 10 to 15 years, Roku has offered other companies' streaming services on its set-top boxes and smart TVs. Despite competition from Google, Apple and Amazon, it remains the market leader.

Yet while Roku is best known for making devices, it now makes most of its money selling advertising. It sells ads for hundreds of video services, and splits the revenue with them. Last year, Roku's "platform business," which is mostly advertising, topped $1 billion for the first time.

Roku also owns one of the fastest-growing channels in this space: the Roku Channel is like a mini cable bundle with live feeds of reruns and old movies. It relies on shows from other providers.

Advertising is the reason Roku's market capitalization has soared from a couple billion dollars when it went public in 2017 to about $40 billion today.

So what do you do when you have something that's working? You double down. By owning shows, Roku keeps all of the advertising sales and can also experiment with different formats to see what works.

Experiment is the operative word. These deals are best viewed as a test, according to Rob Holmes, the company's vice president of programming. "There is very much an opportunity for us to understand what works and then continue to invest behind it," he said this past week.

Roku hasn't committed billions of dollars to original programming, a la Amazon or Apple. It acquired a bunch of shows from a distressed company at a fire-sale price, and acquired a tiny media company that fit its needs almost perfectly.

Roku is going to test whether the glitzy Quibi shows draw more eyeballs to its namesake channel. The result could lead to a more significant investment in Hollywood or a decision to stick with home-improvement shows that speak to its middle class viewers. It's going to see if controlling shows boosts ad sales enough to justify the expense of funding them.

One thing Hollywood producers shouldn't expect from Roku, at least not right away, is huge checks. The company doesn't want to sink a bunch of money into shows that it might not get back – what's called deficit financing. Nor can it afford to. Roku is being opportunistic, in the words of Holmes. "We don't need a 'Stranger Things' every week for 52 weeks," he said.

Roku will continue to invest if it works, and will stop if it doesn't. Given that its entire business is predicated on distributing other people's apps, it's hard to see the company reorienting around original content (a la Netflix). Distributors like AT&T, Comcast and Apple, among others) always put the pipes ahead of the productions. But all those companies have still decided owning content benefits their bottom line.

Roku's experiment comes with of risks. The company already has a contentious relationship with many larger media companies because it asks for a cut of advertising and subscription sales. HBO Max launched without even being available on Roku devices. Now Roku is competing more directly for viewers and projects.

The company also has to convince Hollywood that the Roku Channel isn't Siberia. Some of the A-listers involved in Quibi shows weren't exactly thrilled about the sale to Roku, which is the antithesis of Quibi. Roku is a hardware company run by an engineer best-known for wearing suspenders, while Quibi was a glitzy Hollywood startup led by two very famous executives. I would wager that neither Liam Hemsworth nor Anna Kendrick has ever watched the Roku Channel.

But Roku has hired many of Quibi's former executives to help oversee the shows, and massage egos.

Most of the people involved in these shows are just happy audiences might actually see them this time. "I was really sad because this thing I was proud of was only out in the world for such a short amount of time," said Heller, who also co-created "Deadbeat," one of Hulu's first original series. "Roku is in like 50 million homes. That's great." – Lucas Shaw

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The movie window is dead! Wait, no it's not!

Black Widow

Disney will release "Black Widow" on its streaming service at the same time it appears in theaters, on July 9, letting Disney+ subscribers see the movie for an extra $30.

My immediate reaction: This is a huge deal. Disney, which dominates the movie business like Jordan in his prime, was the studio that fought hardest to preserve the theatrical "window." But now "Black Widow" becomes the biggest movie yet to skip an exclusive theatrical run, because it's a Marvel movie and Marvel runs Hollywood.

But ... will this strategy hold? Late last year, Warner Bros. announced theaters would have to share its 2021 movies with same-day availability on HBO Max. When this happened, a handful of filmmakers and critics lamented the death of cinema. Warner Bros. swore it was a temporary strategy due to the pandemic.

And guess what happened? Under a deal with Regal, Warner Bros. decided it would release movies on HBO Max 45 days after theaters starting next year.

So, windows are collapsing, and that's good for consumers. But movies will likely still open in theaters first.

Enjoy "Black Widow" at home while you can.

Ellen's ratings have fallen off a cliff

Ellen DeGeneres's daytime talk show has lost more than 1 million viewers over the last six months, per John Koblin. The decline follows several stories about popular host overseeing a toxic workplace. Here's John:

It is a startling setback for one of daytime television's most successful franchises and for Ms. DeGeneres, who was at the forefront of an earlier cultural shift when, as the star of a prime-time network sitcom in the 1990s, she announced that she is gay.

The show's loss of more than a million viewers translates to a 43 percent decline, representing a steeper drop than any of its competitors. This TV season, "Ellen," the winner of dozens of Emmys since its start in 2003, is no longer in the same league as traditional rivals like "Dr. Phil" (2.5 million) and "Live: With Kelly and Ryan" (2.7 million). Now it finds itself uncomfortably close to shows hosted by Maury Povich (1.4 million), Kelly Clarkson (1.3 million), Rachael Ray (1.2 million), Tamron Hall (1.1 million) and Jerry Springer's former security guard Steve Wilkos (1.1 million).

Worth noting: The show only has one more season under contract.

The music industry is back! To 2002 levels…

Global record sales jumped 7.4% in 2002, reaching $21.6 billion worldwide, according to the International Federation of the Phonographic Industry. That's the largest it has been since 2002.

So the industry essentially spent the past 20 years recovering all of its losses from piracy, YouTube, iTunes and the great recession. 

Some other highlights:

  • BTS was the best-selling act in the world last year, notching the two best-selling albums of the year. Four of the five best-selling albums were from South Korea and Japan. (That doesn't include streaming, however.)
  • The Weeknd's "Blinding Lights" was the biggest single of 2020, followed by "Dance Monkey," from Tones and I
  • Some 443 million people now pay for subscription music services.
  • Latin America was the fastest-growing market last year, followed by Asia.

Cutting the cord is no longer cheap

From Chris Palmeri:

If you put together the flagship streaming services from the biggest media and tech companies, including Amazon.com Inc.AT&T Inc.Netflix Inc. and Walt Disney Co., it would now cost you $92 a month in the U.S. That's almost as much as a typical cable-TV subscription, which S&P Global Market Intelligence puts at $93.50.

Deals, deals deals

  • Shares in ViacomCBS Inc. plunged after a hedge fund was forced to dump more than $20 billion worth of holdings in a bunch of companies. The company's shares had been on a tear this year, but the stock sales wiped out more than $30 billion in market value.
  • Publishers Axios and the Athletic have discussed merging and then going public together. Axios is a leader in free, advertising-supported publishing while the Athletic is a subscription-only model.
  • Univision and Televsia, two of the biggest Spanish-language media companies, have discussed combining their content assets.  
  • Private equity firm KKR is working with music company BMG to shop for music copyrights.

Weekly playlist

The "Mission Impastable" podcast. I will say no more.

 

 

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