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Bigger tests ahead

President Joe Biden's supporters are pointing to the imminent passage of his stimulus package as a sign of even bigger wins to come.

But they may be jumping the gun if they think Biden can tap into a pandemic-weary U.S. populace to expand government programs that Republicans have long sought to shrink.

As Steven T. Dennis and Erik Wasson explain, Biden's soon-to-be-unveiled longer-term economic package faces far tougher obstacles in Congress and could prove the real test of the administration's ability to set U.S. policy on a fundamentally different course.

Spanning measures to address infrastructure, climate, health care, inequality — and maybe, even, immigration — the "build back better" program could dwarf the $1.9 trillion Covid-relief plan in size, complexity and political difficulty.

A major question facing Biden and his fellow Democrats who control both chambers of Congress by narrow margins is the amount of time and energy to devote to courting Republican votes — and the concessions they should be willing to make to get them.

As vice president, Biden was instrumental in Capitol Hill negotiations more than a decade ago over Barack Obama's signature health care bill, which eventually passed with only Democratic support after months of effort to bring Republicans on board.

Biden and Democratic congressional leaders showed with this relief package, which the House could send to the president for his signature as soon as today, that they can balance the demands of moderates and progressives in their party.

Next time, that will be just part of the battle. — Kathleen Hunter

A man walks down a street in Baltimore, Maryland.

Photographer: Spencer Platt/Getty Images

Click here for more on how stimulus targeting a shrinking pool of minority farmers reflects Democrats' focus on the impact of racism, plus the party's battle to take charge in the Senate.

Tell us how we're doing or what we're missing at balancepower@bloomberg.net.

Global Headlines

Cooperation snag | President Xi Jinping has ambitious plans to turn China into a digital powerhouse. But, as Peter Elstrom and Coco Liu explain, Xi's drive for tech dominance is threatened by an unexpected speed bump: Beijing's forceful crackdown on Jack Ma's business empire.

  • The U.S. and China are pursuing divergent economic policies amid the pandemic — a role reversal from the last time the world economy was recovering from a shock.
  • Top generals in China said the country must boost military spending to prepare for a possible confrontation with the U.S.

EU launch | Switzerland-based Adienne Pharma & Biotech has agreed to make the Sputnik V Covid-19 vaccine at its Italian facilities, the first European production agreement for the Russian shot. As Alessandro Speciale explains, while regulator approval is pending, the deal with Russia's sovereign wealth fund comes as Prime Minister Mario Draghi tries to speed up Italy's vaccination campaign amid a rise in infections.

Price spike | As the pandemic curtailed economic activity, oil prices hit a freak low last April, even briefly going into negative territory. Sunday's missile attack on a key Saudi oil facility saw benchmark Brent crude spike above $70 per barrel, building on gains already seen due to coordinated supply constraints by major exporters. Enda Curran and Michelle Jamrisko run through what rising oil prices mean for everything from the global recovery to geopolitics.

Another chance | Ex-Brazilian president Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva plans a press conference today at his former union headquarters after a judge tossed out criminal convictions against the leftist icon, his biggest chance yet at a long-sought comeback. Lula's return to the scene could deal a blow to pro-market reforms, make President Jair Bolsonaro even more populist and bring forward distracting electioneering that wasn't expected for months.

Lula raises a fist at a rally in front of the Metalworkers' Union in Sao Bernardo do Campo in November 2019. 

Photographer: Rodrigo Capote/Bloomberg

Improving fortunes | Just over a year ago, Chile's billionaire president had an approval rating of 6%, the lowest in Latin America. Now, as Valentina Fuentes and Matthew Malinowski report, Chile is vaccinating against Covid at a rate that outstrips most of the world, due partly to Sebastian Pinera's shrewd deal making with drug companies, and his support has edged up to 14-20%.

What to Watch

  • Opposition lawmakers in Paraguay say they will begin preparing impeachment charges against President Mario Abdo Benitez as protests continue over the management of the pandemic.

  • Myanmar authorities cordoned off part of Yangon last night to search for protesters, drawing international alarm as students defied a curfew to resist the post-coup crackdown.

  • Pentagon officials are crafting a fiscal 2022 plan that assumes essentially a flat budget instead of the increase anticipated under the Trump White House, sources say.

  • Sanjeev Gupta's steel and aluminum empire, GFG Alliance, which employs 35,000 people across 30 nations, told its biggest lender Greensill Capital it too faces insolvency without its financing.

And finally ... When Prime Minister Narendra Modi's government offered Indian women cooking-fuel subsidies five years ago, it was life-changing: They could use gas cylinders instead of burning cow dung, crops and wood that left a sooty flame and teary eyes. Yet, facing a widening fiscal deficit, New Delhi has slowly cut the size of those handouts — a shift that risks upsetting women voters and potentially exposing millions to heavier levels of pollution.

A woman uses dung as a cooking fuel at her village home in Uttar Pradesh. 

Photographer: T. Narayan/Bloomberg

 

 

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