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Did a Thanksgiving warning come too late?

Coronavirus Daily
Bloomberg

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Did a Thanksgiving warning come too late?

In any other year, this week would mark the beginning of a mad travel dash. Americans across the country would be hopping into planes, trains and automobiles to reunite with loved ones across dinner tables and beside Christmas trees.

But of course this year will be different. There will be smaller gatherings and Zoom celebrations and, for some, the holidays will be canceled altogether. The numbers of daily Covid-19 cases are now near 200,000 a day, far more than in the spring. And how much worse it gets will depend, in large part, on how many people decide to adjust their holiday plans.

Last Thursday, with Thanksgiving just one week away, the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention urged Americans to skip holiday travel this year.

A sign for Covid-19 testing in Terminal B at Los Angeles International Airport.

Photographer: Bing Guan/Bloomberg

Contact-tracing efforts are increasingly finding clusters of infections linked to small, private social gatherings, as opposed to the super-spreader events seen earlier in the pandemic. That means that skipping your usual 10-person turkey feast this year could play an important part in stemming the spread of the virus.

"The safest way to celebrate Thanksgiving this year is at home with the people in your household," said Erin Sauber-Schatz, who leads the CDC's Community Intervention and Critical Population Task Force.

But that warning was a significant break from earlier messaging in which U.S. officials had largely declined to issue firm guidance for holiday gatherings, urging instead that families practice "risk assessment." In California, for example, the state health department suggested that while canceling Thanksgiving is safest, families should refrain from gathering with "no more than two other households" and try to keep it outdoors.

The coming weeks will tell whether the CDC's plea simply came too late. The agency now projects a grim increase in deaths due to the virus over the next four weeks, with as many as 16,000 new fatalities likely to be reported by Dec. 12.

So this year, whether we're gathering with family in front of the computer screen or around the dinner table, let's remember that all of our actions can play a part in stopping the coronavirus' spread.—Kristen V. Brown

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