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Counting votes and counting cases

Coronavirus Daily
Bloomberg

Here's the latest news from the global pandemic.

After the vote, bracing for a Covid winter

On the same day that Americans went to the polls to cast their vote for president, the number of new coronavirus cases in the country reached 91,636.

While the outcome of the election remains uncertain, it seems all too clear that many more people around the world will fall ill in the coming months.

Analysts at Morgan Stanley said in a note Tuesday that the surge in cases in the U.S. this fall has topped their worst-case assumptions. The outbreak raises the potential that more stringent measures will be needed to stop the spread of the disease, they wrote. Several European countries have enacted restrictions designed to halt transmission, and the analysts noted that 14 states are approaching the same rate of hospitalizations—200 or more per million people—that appear to have triggered those curbs. 

Things look especially stark in the Midwest states that helped propel Donald Trump to the presidency in 2016. Wisconsin posted America's third-highest cases per capita in the past week, behind only the Dakotas, according to the Covid Tracking Project. And seven-day average cases were at records in Iowa and Michigan ahead of Election Day. 

Trump won two key states where hospitalizations for Covid-19 were among the highest in the U.S. in the past few days—Florida and Ohio. The two states and Michigan, which has yet to be called, all saw admissions for the virus surge more than 10% since Oct. 30, suggesting the jump in cases during the election campaign may have done less harm to the Republican camp than expected.

Whoever wins the presidency, it's likely that the U.S. will face darker times in the coming months. Former Food and Drug Administration chief Scott Gottlieb told CNBC on Tuesday that he expects the number of new daily cases in the U.S. to peak around Inauguration Day in January. "The acute phase of this is really going to play out over the next couple of months," Gottlieb said.

As America counts votes in the coming days, the numbers of cases, people in the hospital and deaths due to Covid-19 will grow. Elections have consequences, but they take time. Meanwhile, the virus marches on.—Tim Annett 

Track the vote

 Who Is Ahead? Track the U.S. Election Latest

A voter casts a ballot at a polling location for the 2020 Presidential election in Alameda, California.

Photographer: David Paul Morris/Bloomberg

 

What you should read

Ontario Begins New Color-Coded Virus System
New system has five levels, ranging from "prevent" to "lockdown" steps. 
Covid Response Hampered by Politics: Reviewer
WHO needs greater freedom from politics when it recommends measures.
Italy Readies Bans on Movement for Risk Areas
A 10 p.m. to 5 a.m. curfew may additionally be imposed across the country.
Australia's Powerhouse States to Reopen Borders
The border between New South Wales and Victoria will reopen on Nov. 23.
Americans Brave Covid to Vote: Election Scenes
People came out to cast their votes amid an intensifying public health crisis.

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