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Bloomberg

Biden starts to shape incoming administration, markets hit record highs, and Turkey tries a policy reset. 

Transition

President-elect Joe Biden is starting to shape his incoming administration, announcing his transition team's coronavirus task force this morning. Biden is largely ignoring President Donald Trump's continued refusal to concede defeat, as the incumbent seeks legal avenues to challenge the election. While Biden's supporters celebrated long and loudly after major media outlets called the election in his favor, the incoming administration faces high hurdles with a divided legislature and a divided nation

Record 

While a hamstrung Biden administration might not be the best outcome for his supporters, it is starting to look like a Goldilocks scenario for markets. The MSCI All-Country World Index hit an all-time intraday high this morning as investors see the election result preserving the status quo but with less political tension. Nasdaq 100 Index futures jumped, contracts on the S&P 500 Index added 1.5% as of 5:50 a.m. Eastern Time and every industry sector in Europe was higher. Oil and gold climbed, while the yield on the 10-year Treasury stood at 0.803% 

Turkey moves 

Turkey's lira, the world's worst performing emerging-market currency this year, jumped this morning in the wake of the firing of the country's central bank governor on Friday and the resignation of the finance minister on Saturday. President Recep Tayyip Erdogan met with former Deputy Prime Minister Nurettin Canikli and the newly appointed central bank Governor Naci Agbal late Sunday to discuss monetary policy. The surge in the lira is driven by speculation that higher interest rates could be coming. The Istanbul stock gauge headed for the biggest gain since August.

Coronavirus 

The incoming U.S. administration has made the pandemic its first priority, with the most recent data showing Covid-19 remains largely out of control in America. Daily cases topped 100,000 for a fourth day in a row, with the average daily deaths of late reaching 869, the highest since Sept. 1. The crisis in Europe also appears to be intensifying, with Germany hitting a record number of patients in intensive care. Worldwide, cases hit 50 million, with nearly one in five of those in the U.S. 

Coming up...

While there's very little of note on today's economic data calendar, investors will get to hear from Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester and Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan later. The U.S. sells $54 billion of three-year notes at 1:00 p.m. Analysts are bracing for a sharp selloff in Biogen Inc. shares after the U.S. Food and Drug Administration harshly judged the efficacy of the company's Alzheimer's drug. This follows the stock's 44% rally after a positive FDA report last week. In other corporate news, McDonald's Corp., Beyond Meat Inc. and Nikola Corp. announce results. 

What we've been reading

This is what's caught our eye over the weekend.

And finally, here's what Joe's interested in this morning

We talk a lot about financial stocks, and how they've been sucking wind for years and years now. But actually not all financials are doing so badly. Mostly it's just the banks that haven't gone anywhere in a long time. So for example, Goldman Sachs has a $72 billion market cap right now, whereas 10 years ago it was over $90 billion.

On the other hand, check out a company like ICE, which owns the NYSE. Ten years ago it had a market cap of just $8.2 billion, and today it's a bit over $56 billion.

A big part of the story is how the exchanges continue to move up the food chain, offering more and more value-added services, beyond merely being passive trading venues.

One nascent business for the New York Stock Exchange is direct listings, where companies go public while skipping the formal IPO process. It's only been done by a handful of companies so far, such as Spotify, but soon the exchange expects more firms to go down this route, as they see regulators allowing companies to list and raise capital at the same time, again, without the whole traditional IPO rigmarole. On the latest episode of Odd Lots, we spoke with NYSE Vice Chairman and Chief Commercial officer John Tuttle about this line of business, and just how big it could get going forward.

Joe Weisenthal is an editor at Bloomberg.

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