Dow rises 150 points | Pelosi optimistic on stimulus deal | Bitcoin the best inflation hedge?
EDITOR'S NOTE
The market may be getting comfortable with a Democratic sweep at the polls but legendary hedge fund manager Paul Tudor Jones warns there are some downsides to this Election Day scenario.
Some market experts think a "blue wave" will be a near-term positive for the market because it will facilitate the passage of a large fiscal stimulus package amid the coronavirus pandemic. Jones agrees with this line of thinking, adding, "There's no doubt that Main Street under this program is going to benefit."
Stocks have traded in a tight range this month, seemingly rising and falling with every headline concerning the aid negotiations between Democrats and Republicans.
However, Jones said a blue wave could also result in higher corporate taxes, which would pressure equity prices over the long haul.
"I think under a blue wave, and the Biden tax plan, financial assets over the long run suffer a great deal," he said. "There's an inverse relationship — it's loose but it's clearly there — between stocks multiples and capital gains tax."
Jones, chairman of nonprofit Just Capital, also said Thursday that his appreciation for bitcoin has grown since disclosing his investment in the cryptocurrency in May.
"I think we are in the first inning of bitcoin and it's got a long way to go," he said. "The reason I recommended bitcoin is because it was one of the menu of inflation trades, like gold, like TIPS breakevens, like copper, like being long yield curve, and I came to the conclusion that bitcoin was going to be the best inflation trade."
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