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Five Things - Asia
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Google is accused of abusing market power. A U.S. spending deal is still possible this week. And Singapore's new city of the future is its greenest project yet. 

Landmark Case

The U.S. Justice Department sued Alphabet's Google, accusing it of abusing its monopoly in search in the most significant antitrust action against an American company in more than two decades. Google, which controls about 90% of the online search market in the U.S., is engaged in a variety of anticompetitive practices to maintain and extend its monopoly, the government said in a complaint filed Tuesday in Washington. The case reveals new details about a secretive, multibillion-dollar deal between the internet giant and Apple, the world's largest technology company. Google shares still rose on Tuesday though — here's why.

Deal Sweetener

House Speaker Nancy Pelosi said Tuesday she's hopeful for a U.S. stimulus agreement this week. That would be crucial to getting a bill passed before the Nov. 3 election, although Senate Republicans continue to be suspicious of a Pelosi-led deal. The administration's offer is now $1.88 trillion, White House Chief of Staff Mark Meadows said on CNBC, while Pelosi is pushing for $2.2 trillion along with a number of requirements for how the money should be deployed. 

Market Open

Asian stocks looked poised to track modest gains in the U.S. Wednesday as lawmakers continued to haggle over stimulus. The dollar weakened. Futures were little changed in Japan, and edged up in Australia and Hong Kong. S&P 500 futures opened little changed after the S&P 500 bounced back from Monday's selloff. Tech shares mostly shook off the U.S. Justice Department's decision to sue Google; Netflix plunged in late trading after it added fewer subscribers than predicted in the third quarter. Treasuries slumped. Oil climbed above $41 a barrel.

ESG Advocacy

Australian companies have been in the spotlight over the past year for corporate scandals ranging from breaching anti-money laundering laws to sexual harassment. Still, thanks to the quality of environmental, social and governance-related disclosures, analysts rate the nation highly among its Asia-Pacific peers in a year when the style of investing is becoming more popular. Australian pension funds, the world's fourth-largest pool of retirement savings, are using their influence to prompt changes in corporate behavior. And the country's unique two-strikes rule — which triggers a vote to change a company's board if shareholders vote against the firm's remuneration report twice in a row — is being used as a "lightning rod for broader governance concerns," Glover said.

Not So Sweet

The U.S. said it found "conclusive evidence" that a Chinese company used forced labor to make extracts of the sweetener stevia, with American ports now directed to seize any shipments. Inner Mongolia Hengzheng Group Baoanzhao Agriculture, Industry and Trade Co. used convict, forced or indentured labor to make products that are being — or are likely to be —imported to the U.S., Customs and Border Protection said in a statement. The move is the latest in a string where the U.S. is raising pressure on China over some companies' alleged ill-treatment of some workers. China's Foreign Ministry has denied the allegations.

What We've Been Reading

This is what's caught our eye over the past 24 hours:

And finally, here's what Tracy's interested in today

What happens to the U.S. Treasury market after the November elections? Would a bigger deficit under a Democratic win automatically translate into higher yields as the Treasury funds more stimulus with additional sales of U.S. debt? There's a powerful reason that might not happen. In an upcoming episode of the Odd Lots podcast, JPMorgan's Josh Younger argues that in emphasizing its support for "critical market functioning," the Federal Reserve has effectively placed a backstop on yields even in a scenario where the deficit booms.

He argues there's a potential mismatch between the private market's capacity for intermediating the Treasuries market and the vast (and growing) size of the market itself. Big dealer-banks who support the market by buying U.S. debt or providing repo financing have limited balance sheet to do so. Meanwhile the stock of outstanding U.S. debt is getting bigger, setting the stage for a market seizure. The suggestion is that this mismatch could give rise to fiscal dominance, or the need for the Fed to create a backstop to maintain the smooth functioning of the market. In other words, a bigger U.S. deficit accompanied by more Treasury issuance could actually force yields lower by introducing a new policy consideration for the Fed. 

You can follow Tracy Alloway on Twitter at @tracyalloway.

 

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