The U.S. is officially in a recession. Will it actually become a depression? | | | WED, JUN 10, 2020 | | | I have some good news and some bad news.
Let's start with the bad stuff: The National Bureau of Economic Research on Monday told everyone that the 128-month economic expansion — the longest expansion in U.S. history — ended in February as the economy fell into a deep recession. The recession also began the same month, NBER said.
We cannot be shocked by any of this. The coronavirus pandemic struck the country hard in March, leading to a nationwide lockdown that shuttered most of the economy. That was followed by an unemployment rate that surged in April to the highest level on record at 14.7%. More than 45 million unemployment applications had been filed for benefits that month.
Some financial pundits were wondering if the country would eventually dip into a depression, and what it would take for that to happen.
OK, since I am someone who sees the glass half full, let's talk about the good news.
With all states reopening once again in some form or another, the economy appears to be in a recovery mode. The Dow Jones Industrial Average has surged in the past month on the expectation that an economic rebound is ahead.
While the economy has obviously not recovered, it's growing again. Perhaps a new economic expansion is underway.
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