Santoli on this confusing market | Buffett's latest moves | House Democrats pass stimulus package
EDITOR'S NOTE
Investors seem undecided as to whether stocks are in a bull or bear market.
CNBC's senior markets commentator Michael Santoli has an assessment of this confusing market.
The S&P 500 suffered it's fastest drop in history as the coronavirus pandemic shut down the economy, and then it made a dizzying recovery following multi-trillion-dollar responses from the Federal Reserve.
Some investors say the Fed established a bottom for the market. Others say the market's swift recovery begs for a retesting of its March 23 lows. And while some argue that investors are far too negative, others complain they're way too optimistic. Meantime the pandemic remains unpredictable and the future unknowable.
"What's clear," Santoli writes, "is that anyone buttressing a positive case by claiming 'Everyone's bearish' and those calling for deep downside on the notion that 'Everyone is too bullish' are equally unreliable at the moment."
CNBC's Patti Domm writes that we're stuck in a range-bound market.
"We have been very adamant about the definition of this market as being neither bull nor bear," said Julian Emanuel, chief equity and derivatives strategist at BTIG. "It's bounded by the 200-day moving average on the top, which is basically 3,000, and the 200-week moving average on the bottom, which is 2,667."
Which way the market goes when it snaps out of its current range depends largely on the incremental reopenings of state economies. Essentially, they need to go well because that's how investors have been betting.
If you are a CNBC PRO subscriber, be sure to check out the latest moves of the biggest investors on the CNBC PRO page, including Warren Buffett and Bill Ackman.
MICHAEL SANTOLI'S MARKET COLUMN
THE WEEK AHEAD
ACTIVIST SPOTLIGHT
YOUR WEEKEND BRIEFING
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