| Get Jonathan Bernstein's newsletter every morning in your inbox. Click here to subscribe. Matt Yglesias asks over on Twitter: Something I don't totally understand is are reopeners *hoping* to spark a revival of interstate and intercity travel (which would have a lot of economic benefits but pose a huge public health risk) or are they assuming that won't happen (which is safer but has less upside)? The question would be a good one if we were debating public-policy ideas. In that case, the important issue would be whether economic normality is even possible as long as public health is still at risk. As far as I can tell, virtually all economists and medical experts think the answer is no — and thus fighting the pandemic and boosting the economy are one and the same at this point, not a terrible choice we have to make. Yet as far as I can see, the folks that Yglesias calls the "reopeners" — not so much President Donald Trump, as the people who have been leading Trump away from his own guidelines — simply aren't thinking in those terms. Because they're not really thinking in terms of policy. This is the post-policy thinking that's been dominating the Republican Party for several years now. It's putting the slogans of talk-radio hosts and Fox News personalities front and center, and leaving serious governing professionals to either go along, be marginalized or leave the party altogether. My guess is that in this case we're seeing a combination of several impulses. One is: Defy the experts. #FireFauci! That's a theme popular with talk-radio audiences. Another goes something like: Look! Some yahoos demonstrating with guns! Let's not fall behind them and be considered RINOs. A third one is: Look! Some yahoos demonstrating with guns! Let's exploit the opportunity and jump to the head of that parade. Yes, of course this is irresponsible when lives are on the line. But at this point, it's probably not as much a decision as it is an ingrained way of doing things. After all, we're talking about a party that's been trying to "repeal and replace" the Affordable Care Act for a decade now and hasn't got around to coming up with the "replace" part. To be clear: This isn't to say that conservative ideas can't be serious. The movement has had plenty of strong policy ideas in the past, and there are still plenty of conservatives who can formulate an array of real governing options. By and large, though, those aren't the people guiding the Republican Party in 2020. Now it's Mark Levin and Sean Hannity and Laura Ingraham and politicians who aspire to be like them. And they're generally much more interested in figuring out what sounds good to their strongest supporters than what the outcomes of any particular government action might be. 1. Sara Watson at the Monkey Cage on unemployment benefits. 2. Matt Grossmann speaks with Steven Teles, Robert Saldin, Karyn Amira and Jordan Ragusa about Never Trumpers. 3. My Bloomberg Opinion colleague Conor Sen on what Congress has to do next. Very good, but don't forget the importance of helping out state and local governments, which will continue to be a major drag on the economy unless they're bailed out. 4. Paul Blumenthal on why "election night" is the wrong way to think of election coverage. 5. Greg Sargent on the AWOL president. 6. And Grace Segers on the impeachment trial. Get Early Returns every morning in your inbox. Click here to subscribe. Also subscribe to Bloomberg All Access and get much, much more. You'll receive our unmatched global news coverage and two in-depth daily newsletters, the Bloomberg Open and the Bloomberg Close. |
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