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Oil market remains under extreme pressure, Trump tweets he'll suspend immigration, and central banks are doing a lot of buying. 

Cruel oil

Yesterday's unprecedented collapse far into negative territory of the West Texas Intermediate contract for May delivery is starting to feed into June prices. This morning this far more actively traded future briefly dipped below $12 a barrel, while a similar Brent contract was under $20 a barrel. The warning from the IEA last week that the world is close to running out of places to hold oil is ringing true, with the biggest independent storage company saying space has all but run out. President Donald Trump said he wants to add as much as 75 million barrels of oil to the Strategic Petroleum Reserve and that he'll consider banning imports from Saudi Arabia.

No immigration

Speaking of Trump banning things, the president tweeted that he will sign an executive order temporarily suspending immigration into the U.S. He offered no specifics, and the White House did not immediately respond to a request for comment. Also in Washington, the Senate is planning to meet today for a potential vote on an emergency stimulus package of as much as $500 billion, with House Speaker Nancy Pelosi saying she hopes for a vote there tomorrow. In Europe, meanwhile, Italy is set to present plans this week to start easing the lockdown as new cases in the country continue to decline

Buying, buying, buying

The numbers are starting to add up after central banks around the world embarked on massive asset purchases programs last month. Monetary authorities in the Group of Seven countries purchased $1.4 trillion of financial assets in March, with the pace showing no signs of slowing this month. In the week though April 15 the Federal Reserve expanded its balance sheet by $41 billion per day. Analysts at Morgan Stanley estimate that the holdings of the biggest central banks will have increased by $6.8 trillion when all is said and done. 

Markets drop

The collapse in oil prices, manifest uncertainty over the duration of shutdowns and unconfirmed reports on the deteriorating health of North Korea's leader all add up to lower global equity prices. Overnight, the MSCI Asia Pacific Index dropped 1.9% while Japan's Topix index closed 1.2% lower. In Europe, the Stoxx 600 Index was down 2% by 5:50 a.m. Eastern Time, with oil and gas stocks leading the losses in a session which has every industry sector in the red. S&P 500 futures point to another lower open, the 10-year Treasury yield was at 0.577% and gold dropped. 

Coming up…

U.S. existing home sales for March are expected to show a significant drop from February's number when the data is published at 10:00 a.m. President Trump is scheduled to meet New York Governor Andrew Cuomo later today in the White House. It is a big day for earnings with Coca-Cola Co. already reporting better-than-expected earnings this morning, while Netflix Inc., Snap Inc., Philip Morris International Inc., Lockheed Martin Corp. and Texas Instruments Inc. are among the many companies due to announce later. 

What we've been reading

This is what's caught our eye over the last 24 hours.

And finally, here's what Joe's interested in this morning

Sometimes you read a story about a company that got into financial trouble, and it will include a detail like "employees started noticing that fresh flowers were no longer being delivered to the office" as a proxy for early evidence of corporate distress. But you know if the company returns to health, life starts to return to normal, and eventually the fresh flowers appear again, and the cycle is complete.

I thought about this last week reading a column about Disney's Bob Iger by the NYT media columnist Ben Smith. Iger officially stepped aside several weeks ago, going out on a high after the Disney+ launch, but the crisis has apparently thrust him back into the operations of the company. According to Smith, Iger is keen to use this crisis to completely rethink longstanding corporate practices, like producing TV pilots for shows that never air, and participating in costly advertising upfronts. You have to figure this turmoil is resulting in similar soul searching at businesses all over the place. And this is what makes the post-crisis era so difficult to anticipate. It's not just about companies cutting flower delivery and then bringing them back in the good times. This time there's no cycle.

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