Never buy hardware today based on a promise of software tomorrow These "bugfixes and improvements" rarely eliminate the original problem entirely, but sometimes you get surprised. We're about to find out if Samsung can buck that trend with the focus hunting issues on the Galaxy S20 Ultra, which is getting an update globally right now. Unfortunately, I haven't found definitive evidence it does, but signs seem to look good based on some early user reports. Even more unfortunately, I have to admit that my review unit is locked up tight at my office where I absolutely can't get it — so I may not be able to test the update myself for some time. Anyway, the advice is on my mind after reviewing the iPad Pro even though — again — it only really tangentially relates. It's because so much of the iPad is about its potential, which for years was always just one update away. First it was waiting for better multitasking, then a better web browser and USB device support, and now we're waiting to see if that Magic Keyboard with its trackpad can unlock more capabilities on this thing. I unfortunately haven't had a chance to try out the new Magic Keyboard yet, though I did do some trackpad testing. Stay tuned for more on the trackpad next week — or just go on and try it yourself, as iOS and iPadOS 13.4 are out now with mouse and keyboard support for iPads, iCloud Drive folder sharing, and more. I'd love to hear your thoughts on it, shoot me an email. The standout new hardware feature this year, LIDAR, simply doesn't have direct support from AR apps to justify itself yet. It makes you wonder if the next flagship iPhone will have LIDAR too. Its inclusion on the iPad Pro seems like a signal that Apple thinks truly good AR requires LIDAR, as Nilay Patel pointed out in the Vergecast last week. Despite some recent travails with Catalyst apps on the Mac, Apple is generally really good at getting developers on board with its new capabilities, so I have a high level of faith that those LIDAR-enhanced AR apps will come. (Disclosure: my wife works for Oculus, which works on VR.) There are fun things to do in AR today, but in the popular imagination it's definitely one of the many "in five years it'll be huge" technologies — alongside self-driving cars and robot butlers. Perhaps the timeline to widespread AR is considerably shorter, but it's certainly not imminent. I think Apple deserves more credit than it usually gets for taking big bets on its products. Usually, it has a reputation for being more conservative than other companies — it was late to 3G and wireless charging. But just as often, Apple risks unproven tech on important products. Not all of them pan out, of course (looking at you MacBook keyboard and Touch Bar), but just as often they do: truly wireless headphones were kind of meh before the AirPods, consumers didn't rise up and reject headphone jack-less phones, and even the iPad Pro itself was a risk. When it was first introduced, there was no guarantee that it could turn into what it's become today. Sometimes Apple's bets are about pushing the entire market forward, intentionally seeding ideas that aren't quite ready now in order to force the future it believes should come. That's absolutely the story with USB originally and with the Great Port Cull on phones and laptops over the past few years. I think it's likely a similar story with LIDAR and AR. I have no idea if LIDAR and the idea of pervasive AR that people access by holding up big tablets will become bets that pan out or not. Unlike some of Apple's other bets, though, the only hassle the LIDAR causes is the size of the camera bump and the cost of the part. Which means that while I don't think Apple's big AR push is a reason for anybody to go buy the new iPad Pro (unless you're an AR developer, I guess), I also don't think it's a reason to avoid it. So: buy the iPad Pro for the screen, the speed, the microphones, or because you really do think it can replace your laptop. Those are all good reasons. Just don't buy it for the LIDAR — never buy hardware today based on a promise of software tomorrow. |
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