Header Ads

China’s $10 billion plan

Five Things - Asia
Bloomberg

The global death toll from the coronavirus now exceeds that of the SARS outbreak. China pledges at least $10 billion to combat the outbreak. And stocks in Asia are set to take a breather after a rally that has propelled global equities to all-time highs. Here are some of the things people in markets are talking about today.

More Than SARS 

The coronavirus has killed more than 900 people, exceeding the global death toll from the SARS outbreak almost two decades ago. China is spending at least $10 billion to control the coronavirus outbreak and reaching out for medical supplies as the first wave of international experts heads to the disease's epicenter. A cruise ship in Japan with 70 victims has the most infections outside China. Scientists modeling the virus in Wuhan predict infections may peak this month. Meanwhile, coronavirus cases traced to a business meeting in Singapore have reached three European countries after causing infections in Asia, raising fears of a so-called super-spreader event. A cluster of cases of the virus in France, Spain and the U.K. confirmed in the past day all appear to have links to a French ski resort where the infected people had contact with a British man who had just returned from the conference.

Virus Funds 

China's central bank will provide the first batch of special re-lending funds for combating the coronavirus on Monday, and will offer the facility weekly to banks later this month. Nine major national banks and some local banks in ten provinces and cities are qualified for the special funding, according to People's Bank of China Deputy Governor Liu Guoqiang. Financial institutions should expedite the review process for loan applications and release loans within two days, Liu said in a speech posted on the PBOC's website.

Market Open

Stocks in Asia were likely heading for a cautious start Monday after the best week since mid-December, with investors continuing to monitor the rising coronavirus death toll. Currencies were largely steady in early trading. The S&P 500 Index fell along with Treasury yields on Friday, when futures on equities in Hong Kong and Japan declined. Australian contracts were flat. Investors are taking stock of a large rally that last week propelled global stocks back to all-time highs.

Seeking Fund Managers

Australia's sovereign wealth fund has been saying for months that with markets as elevated as they are now, generating gains is only going to get harder. So is finding the right asset managers. For the A$212 billion ($142 billion) Future Fund, picking investors is a higher-stakes decision given an outlook that implies market returns won't be enough to meet its target. The problem: In public markets, manager skills are concentrating, meaning there are fewer funds beating their indexes after fees, Chief Investment Officer Raphael Arndt said. He also noted that the cash flooding into other asset classes, such as private equity, is taking up capacity with experienced hands.

Coming Up ...

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell address lawmakers this week and the focus will be on the risks to the U.S. economy from the coronavirus. Elsewhere this week, China inflation data comes Monday. Producer prices probably were flat in January from a year ago, according to forecasts, after six months of declines. Thursday brings a gauge of underlying U.S. inflation, the core consumer price index. It's expected to increase to 0.2% in January, a faster pace than in December.  China and the U.S. on Friday lower tariffs on billions of dollars of respective imports, as part of the trade deal signed last month.

What we've been reading

This is what's caught our eye over the last 24 hours.

And finally, here's what Tracy's interested in this morning

We're only six weeks into 2020, but I think I have an early candidate for my favorite Odd Lots episode for the year. It's all about the dark side of passive investing, which has often been pitched as a great thing for individual investors as it gives them easier and cheaper access to stocks and bonds. The episode comes out later today and features Mike Green, chief strategist at Logica Capital. The nut of his thesis is that passive investing is concentrating a stream of money into certain stocks and indices. In essence, investors are encouraged to follow flows instead of fundamentals (because the stock with the higher price gets a higher weighting in the index, setting in motion a virtuous cycle of attracting even more money).

If he's right, it's an important change to how markets used to function. In a sense, you could argue that prices used to be self-limiting; eventually stuff would get too expensive for (active) investors to find it attractive. Nowadays, money chases money. The whole thing is worth listening to in the context of the current debate about why stocks keep hitting new records in the face of some very real risks to earnings and the global economy.

You can follow Bloomberg's Tracy Alloway at @tracyalloway.

 

For a fresh, global perspective on the stories that matter for Australian business and politics, sign up for our weekly newsletter.

 

Before it's here, it's on the Bloomberg Terminal. Find out more about how the Terminal delivers information and analysis that financial professionals can't find anywhere else. Learn more.

 

No comments