Insanely low rates are met with a ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
EDITOR'S NOTE
(That's not a typo...it's supposed to be the "shrugging man" emoticon.)
Aren't people racing to take advantage of this historic opportunity to borrow at negative interest rates??
Uh...not exactly.
French auto parts company Valeo ain't interested. They, along with SAP and Unilever, are among the European companies whose debt trades at negative yields. Globally, including the U.S., more than $1.2 trillion of corporate debt now has yields below zero!!
(How does that work? Louis Vuitton parent LVMH, for instance, has issued negative-yielding debt this year, according to Bloomberg, meaning "the securities had a coupon of zero and investors paid more for them than the face amount.")
It makes you wonder if the cost of funds, as some like BlackRock's Rick Rieder have argued, is really the problem as Europe wobbles into a possible recession.
This news comes at the same time Denmark's negative-yielding mortgages are getting more attention as a harbinger of what's to come in more countries--perhaps even ours.
The U.S. has finally seen a modest pickup in demand for mortgages and refinancings, although our average 30-year mortgage rate remains above its 2016 lows of 3.4-3.5%. But the crash in rates this year--instead of spurring people to act quickly to borrow funds--has caused some squeamishness about the economy and an expectation that even lower rates are likely still ahead.
As D.K. wrote to me on Friday, "My wife and I were going to drop $100,000 in a kitchen redo + pool, but we will wait some. We got the wobblies from this week." And he's a loan review manager at a bank!
My husband and I, meanwhile, are aggressively paying down our mortgage despite having a super low borrowing rate. I know that doesn't make any "sense," but it still saves money in the long run and plus, we're debt averse! And so are vast swaths of other personal and corporate borrowers. Tons are still trying to reduce their debt loads--like Altice Europe, despite being one of the negative borrowers this year.
And so the European Central Bank is apparently readying a "bazooka"-like package of rate cuts and bond-buying at its meeting next month, to help stave off a downturn and deflationary spiral. Good luck to them. Because while too-tight monetary policy can definitely choke the economy, simply loosening it over and over again in the hopes of spurring growth rarely seems to help much.
Back on Wednesday. See you then!!
Kelly
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