Did Xi Jinping and Donald Trump just get a win-win?
The presidents of the world's two biggest economies today struck a truce in their trade war, meeting on the sidelines of the Group of 20 summit in Osaka, Japan. It's the second time they've used their personal rapport (Trump called the Chinese leader a "great leader" and friend) to revive talks after an impasse.
The biggest takeaways: The truce is open-ended, giving both sides some breathing space. Trump is willing to let U.S. companies again sell some products to Chinese tech giant Huawei. And he's leaving a bigger decision on the fate of the company, which the U.S. has called a national security threat, until the end of the broader trade talks.
Trump, with an eye on re-election, spoke repeatedly in Osaka about how getting a deal with China on trade would benefit U.S. farmers. Xi, meanwhile, gets a reprieve on a trade war that's damaging his economy and can talk up his negotiating credentials at home.
But there are still risks in a high-stakes game for the global economy.
The 2020 vote will play a big role in how things move forward. Trump has bet so far the economy — and stock market — will hold up despite the trade tensions. And Xi must decide whether he would get a better deal with Trump or potentially one of the Democratic candidates, many of whom are advocating an even harder line on China.
- Rosalind Mathieson
Post a Comment